Bill Simmons is really angry about the revival of hack-a-shaq:
Name me one good/fun/useful thing that comes from hack-a-Shaq. You can’t. It’s not entertaining, it ruins the flow of the game, it’s dirty pool, and it sucks to watch. How have they not fixed this loophole? Really, it’s OK to bear-hug someone as they’re running up the court? Why can’t we give officials the leeway to say, “Look, you did that intentionally, even if we can’t technically prove it, and we are penalizing you for it”? I just hate it. I hate it. I really, really hate it. If I were coaching the Suns, I would be fouling Bowen and Duncan every time and turning it into an “Eff-You” free-throw contest so David Stern had to break away from exchanging late-night e-mails with Clay Bennett to act like a commissioner for 10 minutes and fix this unforgivable tainting of a fantastic series that could have been headed for the Pantheon if not for such a garbage turn of events. That’s not basketball. I can’t stop shaking my head.
(Two people I’m disappointed in: First, Gregg Popovich, the best coach in the league and someone who’s much, much better than this. Shame on you, Pop. And I mean that in the most condescending way possible. And second, Shaq for not telling the refs as well as the Spurs bench, “If this foofer Oberto tries to bear-hug me one more time, I’m just warning you right now, I’m going to run him over like a mack truck and send him to the hospital for the rest of the playoffs.” Come on, Shaq, you have four rings. Make a statement. Don’t put up with this crap. As you can tell, I am passionate about the evils of hack-a-Shaq.)
As someone who saw $250 evaporate before my eyes due to Memphis’ inability to shoot free throws, I should be sympathetic to Simmons’ argument, but I’m not. The hack-a-shaq debate gets to the heart of a key division between those who participate in sports and those who watch them. Those who actually participate (say, Gregg Popovich and the Spurs) care about one thing: winning games. Now, some fans share this desire - Spurs supporters, of course, are thrilled with the hack-a-shaq, but on the whole, it’s not clear why Popovich (or any other coach whose team is playing the Suns) should care about Simmons’ aesthetic preferences.
The NBA as an organization, on the other hand, is supposed to be concerned with the overall appeal of the game and making sure its an appealing product for the players and the fans. So what are they supposed to do? They already made it so off-the-ball fouls with under two minutes get punished with a free throw and possession, thus ending the embarrassing hide-and-seek spectacle that Wilt Chamberlain was forced to endure late in every game. But that was more than 40 years ago. They could do what the NCAA does and make obviously intentional fouls, like the Shaq bear-hug, result in a free throw and possession, but anyone who watched Memphis play this season knows that won’t stop a hack-a-fest.
Other teams could just wrap up Shaq when he shoots, pull at his jersey, push him in the low post or do just about anything. If Simmons watched any college games, he’d know that having a rule against intentional fouls doesn’t prevent intentional fouling. Just look at baseball. Let’s say they banned “intentional walks” and made it so there was some punishment for having the catcher actually stand up, and catch a pitch 10 feet wide of the plate. Well, anyone who watched the Giants play in Barry Bonds’ prime knows perfectly well that he got “unintentionally intentionally walked” all the time. And there is no reason to think that it would be different in basketball.
Simmons suggests that even if the NBA couldn’t make a rule to get rid of hack-a-shaq, they could informally enforce a norm that late-game hacking of a poor free throw shooter is something that’s totally unacceptable. Could an informal norm enforced purely by players and coaches work? The two best comparisons are the “unwritten rules” of baseball and what soccer teams do when a player gets injured.
The unwritten rules of baseball are informal norms that are enforced reputationally and occasionally by things like intentionally hitting batters on the teams that break these rules. The two most notable unwritten rules are not bunting and not stealing in late innings when one team has an insurmountable lead. The reason this rule exists is because bunts and steals are “unnatural” plays that are essentially trying to “force” through runs with base advances and steals as opposed to more “natural” ways of getting runs like simply hitting and advances the number of bases that you can without doing anything particularly out of the ordinary. And while this norm, from a crude cost-benefit standpoint, is worse for the team that’s up a bunch of runs, it’s ultimately one that is easy to enforce because it is reciprocal. Because the baseball season lasts 162 games, there will be a handful of games for every single team in which they get blown out. And so they know that if they don’t break these norms when they’re up, they can reasonably expect that they will get a similar treatment in a blow-out.
The second widely enforced, informal norm that would be somewhat comparable to what Simmons is proposing is what happens in soccer when a player gets injured. Because there are no time-outs in soccer, the only way to stop the game and allow for a substitution is a foul, goal or for the ball to go out of bounds. This is tricky when a player gets injured and needs to be substituted out. If the team with the injured player has the ball, they will stop play by kicking the ball out of bounds and making the substitution. But there’s a problem: now the other team has possession, purely by virtue of one of their players getting randomly injured. So, an informal norm has evolved whereby the team that originally had possession when the injury occurred will kick the ball out of play, and then on the subsequent throw-in, will get the ball back. The reason this norm can be followed is that injuries are fairly random and are pretty evenly distributed, so that no one team is likely to have way more injuries than other teams, and so following the norm will ultimately break even for everyone involved. Also, it resolves the short-term, long-term cost/benefit problem of having an injured player on the field. Of course, it’s best to get an injured player off the field as soon as possible, but if that means sacrificing possession in the short term, it’s a choice a team would rather not make. By establishing the “give back possession” norm, teams can switch out players as soon as possible to the benefit of everyone involved.
So, why has no norm against the hack-a-shaq evolved, even though we know it’s possible to enforce such norms in sports? The most obvious reason is that it works. And more importantly, it works in a limited number of cases in close games. What’s important about the baseball bunting and stealing norms is that they don’t actually affect the outcome of the game, just the margin of victory. The Hack, on the other hand, can really help teams win games by reducing the Suns expected points-per-possession from 1.14 to something approaching 1.06 (which would be the Suns points per possession if every possession ended in Shaq shooting a two). Also, as Simmons points out, the hack-a-shaq can force the Suns to take him out in late game situations, which is a huge advantage for the opposing team. Because the hack can actually change the outcome in games, most players (with the exception of those who get hacked) and coaches (including Mike D’Antoni) don’t have a huge problem with it. Teams are unlikely to adopt norms if their widespread violation will have very specific advantages to most teams and only will disadvantage a few. Awful free throw shooting is not as widespread, nor as random, as soccer injuries, and so there’s no reason for a team with decent free throw shooting to enforce a norm that only advantages team who can’t hack it from the line.
There is, of course, a simple solution to the hack-a-shaq. Players could shoot 60% from the line. If every player could hit 60% of their free throws, making a team’s expected points for every two shots at least 1.2, teams wouldn’t hack unless they were down with under 2 minutes left. And considering that they get paid millions of dollars to play in the NBA, this isn’t an unreasonable expectation. Sure, it’s harder for a 7 footer to shoot free throws, but plenty big men are able to do so. Just look at Vlade Divac, Dirk, Rasheed Wallace, Hakeem and Amare Stoudamire, all of whom have career averages above 70%. And even more infuriatingly, Shaq doesn’t seem to care about his free throw shooting. He even said “I don’t care about my [free throw shooting] percentages. I keep telling everyone that I make them when they count.” He worked with a free throw shooting coach and was able to average above 60% in the 02-03 season. He since abandoned his coach and now is back to shooting in the low 1950s.
To put it simply, atrocious free throw shooting is not endemic to basketball, the same way injuries are to soccer or the occasional blow out is to baseball. Professional basketball players should be able to shoot at least 60%, and if they don’t, they should not complain about getting hacked.